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Mortality reported against high and low ambient temperature across multiple countries

Gasparrini A, Guo Y, Hashizume M, et al. (2015) · The Lancet 386(9991):369–375

A multicountry time-series analysis reported that a larger share of temperature-attributable mortality was associated with moderately cold and moderately hot days than with extreme temperature days.

What they studied

An observational time-series study pooling daily mortality and temperature series from hundreds of locations across thirteen countries.

The analysis modelled the temperature–mortality relationship at each location and pooled results with a multivariate meta-analysis.

Attributable fractions were computed separately for cold and heat, and for moderate versus extreme ranges.

What they found

The authors reported that most of the temperature-attributable mortality burden in their dataset was associated with cold rather than heat.

They reported that moderately hot and moderately cold days accounted for a larger share of attributable deaths than the extreme days at either tail.

Estimates were reported to vary substantially between countries and locations.

What it does not establish

Exposure is outdoor ambient temperature at the location level, not indoor temperature in any dwelling.

Ecological time-series design; it does not measure individual exposure or individual risk.

The analysis does not evaluate any building, equipment, or intervention.

This entry reports the study. It is not a statement about any building Sage Co. designs or constructs.

Source

  • Gasparrini A, Guo Y, Hashizume M, et al. (2015). Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study · The Lancet 386(9991):369–375 · Read at the source

Last reviewed August 30, 2026.